tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25163458.post7822803827153752419..comments2023-10-31T05:09:58.639-04:00Comments on maribo: Drought and ethanol crunch U.S. corn cropUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25163458.post-44842536831840923212012-08-22T17:23:59.532-04:002012-08-22T17:23:59.532-04:00My own numbers suggest that feed production is equ...My own numbers suggest that feed production is equivalent if you take into account the higher feed value of DDG compared to corn on a w/w basis, as articulated by the USDA:<br />http://www.ethanolproducer.com/articles/8272/usda-finds-distillers-grains-offer-greater-feed-value-than-cornjtfhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10279035600714686610noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25163458.post-33123843605961103242012-08-22T17:12:29.913-04:002012-08-22T17:12:29.913-04:00Interesting post and comments above. There remains...Interesting post and comments above. There remains a legitimate question of whether or not less corn available for cattle feed is a problem. I like my beef grass fed.Johnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06365403570563730880noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25163458.post-61480472193248331832012-08-22T16:48:27.982-04:002012-08-22T16:48:27.982-04:00That's a fair point. In the analysis for the 2...That's a fair point. In the analysis for the 2008 paper I mention, we looked at how the use of DDGs as feed grains can offset some of the decline in feed availability that comes from shifting corn over to ethanol production. So, you're right, the quick analysis in my post does overstate the feed stock situation, since there's a ~30-40% feed bonus from ethanol production. Though that still does not bump feed production up to the levels it was add five years ago.<br />Simon Donnerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01844831377442275615noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25163458.post-20190918138596986042012-08-22T16:04:39.896-04:002012-08-22T16:04:39.896-04:00I like your analysis, but I think you're missi...I like your analysis, but I think you're missing something. Downstream on the ethanol value chain, dried distiller's grains (DDG) constitute a major secondary source of feed grains in the US. Roughly 17/52 by mass of a bushel of corn goes into distiller's grains, which the USDA noted can be substituted for corn at a rate of 1 pound distiller's grains per 1.22 pounds corn due to the higher nutritional content of DDG. <br /><br />Taken in this context, feed actually hasn't been displaced as much as you observe from the graph. I wrote a slightly amateurish post on my own blog with some graphs demonstrating the lack of significant changes in corn and corn derivatives going to feed use from Q1 05/06 to Q3 11/12, the time period that shows the largest expansion in ethanol use. I encourage you to read it.<br /><br />http://engineersprocrastinationpit.blogspot.com/2012/08/distillers-grains-on-brain.htmljtfhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10279035600714686610noreply@blogger.com